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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 05/18 12:11
Lower Tones Dominate the Livestock Complex at Monday's Noon Hour
Showlists this week are lighter in Texas, but mostly steady in Kansas,
Nebraska and Colorado.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading lower into Monday's noon hour as the market
is needing to see strong fundamental support before trades will likely
confidently advance the contracts this week. Showlists this week are lighter in
Texas, but mostly steady in Kansas, Nebraska and Colorado. July corn is up 20
cents per bushel and July soybean meal is up $2.60. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average is up 33.49 points and the NASDAQ is down 246.99 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Initially the live cattle complex was off to a bullish start as all of its
contracts were trading higher at Monday's open, but as traders saw how close
the market was to resistance pressure -- they quickly changed their mind and
have since gingerly walked the contracts back slightly. June live cattle are up
$0.05 at $253.90, August live cattle are down $0.20 at $247.72 and October live
cattle are down $0.45 at $238.70. Showlists this week are lighter in Texas, but
mostly steady in Kansas, Nebraska and Colorado.
Last week Northern dressed cattle traded at mostly $410 to $415 which is
$7.00 to $12.00 higher than the previous week's weighted average and Southern
live cattle traded at mostly $260 to $263 which is $3.00 to $5.00 higher than
the previous week's weighted average.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $2.67 ($391.92) and select up $0.81
($390.06) with a movement of 41 loads (17.36 loads of choice, 4.46 loads of
select, 8.64 loads of trim and 10.65 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
And in keeping with the same theme in which the market has been doing now
for weeks on end -- the feeder cattle complex continues to closely track and
mimic the movements of the live cattle complex. May feeders are down $0.12 at
$367.55, August feeders are down $2.55 at $358.90 and September feeders are
down $2.77 at $356.40. And with later this week the Monthly Cattle on Feed
report set to be released -- the market could remain more cautious ahead of
that report's release.
LEAN HOGS:
Even though pork cutout values are higher, the lean hog complex is also
trading lower as traders remain uncomfortable with the support -- or more so
lack of fundamental support -- that they've recently seen in the marketplace.
June lean hogs are down $0.07 at $98.67, July lean hogs are down $0.35 at
$103.00 and August lean hogs are down $0.72 at $103.42. A choppy sideways trend
is most likely going to continue in the hog complex until something noticeable
develops from the market's fundamentals.
The projected lean hog index for 5/15/2026 is up $0.04 at $90.50 and the
actual index for 5/14/2026 is down $0.02 at $90.46. Hog prices are unavailable
on the Daily Direct Morning Hog report because of confidentiality. However, we
can see that only 187 head have traded this morning and that the week's
five-day rolling average now sits at $94.50. Pork cutouts total 148.51 loads
with 128.11 loads of pork cuts and 20.40 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up
$1.64, $99.20.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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